Demand for bioenergy production will increase, but must be achieved sustainably
In accordance with these sustainability considerations, there is no expansion of cropland for bioenergy nor conversion of existing forested land into bioenergy crop production in the Net Zero Scenario.
Aligning with the Net Zero Scenario will require modern bioenergy use and phasing out traditional use of biomass
The use of this traditional biomass falls to zero by 2030 in the Net Zero Scenario in order to achieve the UN Sustainable Development Goal 7 on Affordable and Clean Energy. Modern bioenergy usage, which excludes traditional uses of biomass, nearly doubles from about 42 EJ in 2021 to 80 EJ in 2030.
Biofuel demand forecast to increase 28% over the next 5 years
The United States leads in volume increases, but much of this growth is a rebound from the drop caused by the pandemic. Asia accounts for almost 30% of new production over the forecast period, overtaking European biofuel production by 2026. This is thanks to strong domestic policies, growing liquid fuel demand and export-driven production. Recent Indian ethanol policies and blending targets for biodiesel in Indonesia and Malaysia are responsible for most of the growth in Asia. India is set to become the third largest market for ethanol demand worldwide by 2026.
Analysis and forecasts to 2026
BiofuelsNot on track
Energy system overviewMore efforts needed
Bioenergy with Carbon Capture and Storage
Technology deep diveMore efforts needed
What is the impact of increasing commodity and energy prices on solar PV, wind and biofuels?
Bioenergy Power Generation
Tracking progress 2021More efforts needed
Tracking progress 2021Not on track
Optimising membrane filtration processes in the production of biofuels
Part of Today in the Lab - Tomorrow in Energy?
The aim of the Bioenergy TCP is to increase knowledge and understanding of bioenergy systems in order to facilitate the commercialisation and market deployment of environmentally sound, socially acceptable, and cost-competitive, low-carbon bioenergy systems and technologies, and to advise policy and industrial decision makers accordingly.